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| Watcha gonna do when minorities run wild on you??? | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: Nov 16 2014, 11:53 PM (321 Views) | |
| split decision | Nov 16 2014, 11:53 PM Post #1 |
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Porn savant
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A prominent demographer is forecasting that "non-white" babies will comprise the majority of births in America by 2050. That's about 35 years from now. Isn't diversity a wonderful thing? I suppose a few of you who aren't already 50+ years old might be hyperventilating and looking for your own private island to purchase. But this is a thread where you can extol the virtues of skin colors of all kinds, the wonders of ethnicities galore, and adopting customs and traditions that make your life more complete. Enjoy the melting pot! ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() March of the Non-White Babies Demographer William Frey explains how minorities are poised to re-map America By 2050, there will be no racial majority in the United States. "Minorities"—or groups that are thought of as minorities now—will outnumber the white population. This isn't a small deal. It's going to be this century's baby boom, affecting everything from family structures to economic trends to, obviously, voting patterns. In his new book Diversity Explosion, Brookings Institution demographer William Frey analyzes current demographic trends and predicts how they're going to shape America's not-so-distant future. The share of so-called "new minorities"—Hispanics, Asians and multi-racial groups in America—is going to double. If your first guess is that this is all due to immigration, you're not entirely wrong—it's because of past immigration. What's really driving the growth now (and will continue to do so in the future) is that majority of the immigrants who are already here are at the baby-making age. "Back in the 1950s, we had a lot of Americans across the board in their childbearing years—we had all these babies," Frey explains. "Now, that's really only the case for some of the newer minorities." This is good news, demographically speaking, because as it turns out, the white population in the U.S. is aging pretty rapidly. This surge in minority births will arrive just in time to pick up the slack, Frey says. Absent any major change in immigration policy, the future of the American labor market will depend on the next generation of U.S.-born minorities. We spoke with Frey to get a better understanding of how this new demographic reality is likely to be distributed geographically across the country. Below are excerpts from CityLab's conversation with him, illustrated by graphs and charts from his book. Where are all these "new minorities" likely to live? Back in the 1990s, people were concerned that we were going to have some kind of "balkanization" of the different demographic groups—that the new Hispanic groups that were coming to the U.S. tended to stay in the major immigrant-magnet areas like Los Angeles, Miami or New York ... and the rest of the country was moving to other parts. In the last 15 years, that changed. We now have a spread of Hispanics, especially in the Southeast part of the country, which before the recession hit was a rapidly growing area—economically. Also, [there will be migration to] the other parts of the "new Sunbelt" in the Mountain West. The fact that lots of jobs were moving there and lots of people from all over America were moving there has created opportunities in different segments of the labor force. The recession has slowed some of that movement up in the last few years. But I think that's temporary. People used to move to the suburbs because they were raising kids and they wanted to have a place that's safe for raising their kids and have good schools. Now, that's the "new minorities," that's not whites anymore, and it's helping to make the suburbs a lot more vibrant. We have, for a while, seen minorities move to the suburbs. More Asian metropolitan residents live in the suburbs than in the cities than two decades ago. Eventually, more Hispanics moved into the suburbs. Now, with the 2010 Census, there are more blacks moving to the suburbs ... which is a real milestone in the U.S. given the strong city-concentration of blacks for many, many, many decades. This younger generation of African-Americans—professionals and graduates—are moving off to the suburbs just like younger people have ... in other race groups. What it means for the suburbs themselves is that they've got to open up their institutions and community organizations to people who are of different backgrounds. In the 1990s and since 2000—the last 20 years or so—there's been a much more full migration of blacks back to the South. The major metropolitan area that's attracting blacks is Atlanta, which has been a fairly successful area for most of those areas. They haven't moved back as much to Alabama and Louisiana, places that haven't been doing as well. It's not just people who are desperate for jobs, these are younger, middle-class blacks who are moving there. Also, we're going to see in the next decade or so, many more African-American retirees who spent their lives in Northern cities will decide when they retire they're going to move to the South. What's interesting about the black migration back to the South is that it's a real destination for them. It's the economy, but I also think it's a little bit of history, in that, maybe their parents weren't from there but maybe their grandparents were. Or they may have had aunts and uncles who lived there and they heard stories about the South. There's something about the history of the South and the culture of the South that's part of the pull as well. Where does all of this leave the white population? It's kind of a zero-sum population shift for whites. [The white population] isn't growing very rapidly at all. That means any place that gains whites through migration means some other place has to lose them. About 15 states, some 140 metropolitan areas, and more than half the counties in the states are losing whites. Where whites are going are to a lot of the same places that the minorities have been going—places that have good economies in the Southeast and the Mountain West. What are the implications of all this reshuffling? I'd like to think this whole story about the new minority growth in the country is a good news story for the U.S. We're seeing [the implications] in interracial marriages, we're seeing it in how it's affecting the politics of places. They move at different paces in different parts of the country—but it is a moving out and an integration—not only across regions, cities and suburbs, but at the neighborhood level. That's not to say that there aren't going to be some difficult transitions. We've always had difficult transitions when we had new immigrants coming to the U.S. http://www.citylab.com/housing/2014/11/march-of-the-non-white-babies/382576/ |
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| dhk1980 | Nov 17 2014, 10:45 AM Post #2 |
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why u baiting old CB splittie?
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| Ash | Nov 17 2014, 10:49 AM Post #3 |
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5 Shovels
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I wonder who this is gonna rile up.... |
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| split decision | Nov 17 2014, 10:57 AM Post #4 |
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Porn savant
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C'mon fellas. Ol' CB will be senile in a rocking chair by then. There's no need for him to get bent out of shape over the inevitable. |
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| 19nate79 | Nov 17 2014, 11:58 AM Post #5 |
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Well playing devil's advocate Almost every non white country is terrible. Is this a good thing to have happen? |
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| spasgur | Nov 17 2014, 12:02 PM Post #6 |
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And that must be because of their skin color. |
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| 19nate79 | Nov 17 2014, 12:13 PM Post #7 |
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No just the cultures where they come from |
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| spasgur | Nov 17 2014, 12:26 PM Post #8 |
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Is that relevant for e.g. blacks who've been in the States for centuries? |
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| 19nate79 | Nov 17 2014, 12:42 PM Post #9 |
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They'll still be the minority |
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| Deleted User | Nov 17 2014, 12:53 PM Post #10 |
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Deleted User
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spargus - why are you feeding this troll? |
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| 19nate79 | Nov 17 2014, 01:15 PM Post #11 |
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Already said I don't believe this |
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| spasgur | Nov 17 2014, 03:03 PM Post #12 |
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I'm bored. |
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| Cbear | Nov 18 2014, 05:14 AM Post #13 |
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A few hundred of them need to pay my social security and medicare |
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| Wahoo08 | Nov 18 2014, 11:04 AM Post #14 |
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I'm not sure if this post was made in jest, but it's actually a very important point. Immigration is a huge reason for population growth in this country, which is essential for social security. Without immigration, population growth is rather flat. However, I really don't too much stock in these types of studies. I'm sure there is truth behind the basis of the prediction, but population growth and immigration are both correlated with economic conditions that change over time. For instance, if or when the economic gap between the US and Mexico shrinks (either due to growth in Mexico's economy or a drop in the US economy), you can expect migration between the two nations to drop. Likewise, reproduction patterns are correlated with wealth, so if we see more minorities enter the middle and upper class, you can also expect to see their fertility rates drop. These studies usually are based on 'if trends continue' even though those trends change over time. Edited by Wahoo08, Nov 18 2014, 11:05 AM.
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| Deleted User | Nov 18 2014, 01:02 PM Post #15 |
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Deleted User
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Stop being a voice of reason and let all the whities be scared |
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