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Alcatraz escapees had small chance of success
Topic Started: Dec 15 2014, 10:09 PM (242 Views)
CJ
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A very minor case of serious brain damage

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-30349106

Three inmates who famously escaped from the US island prison Alcatraz had a small chance of making it to land alive - but the odds were stacked against them, a new study suggests.

In 1962, the prisoners absconded using a raft, and were never seen again.

A novel computer model now indicates that if they set off right at midnight, they could have made landfall.

But if they left in the hours either side, it is very likely they died in the cold waters of San Francisco Bay.

The study was carried out by scientists at Delft University and the research institute Deltares, both in the Netherlands, and is being presented this week at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, which is hosted in the California city.



Interesting to hear that they did have a chance, but it sounds like it would have been very slim. They'd have to have either somehow known the specific time and direction in advance, or just been extremely lucky.
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GrieferLord
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Tank Sniper

mythbusters proved its possible to do so and escape with what they had so i don't doubt they made it out.
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CJ
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A very minor case of serious brain damage

Just out of interest, where do you think they might have gone?
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GrieferLord
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Tank Sniper

Honestly if i was them the quickest thing i would have done was make it look like we didn't make it, after that simply disappear into the night. They didn't have finger printing back then so it would be easy to remain low under an assumed name and identity. More than likely they lived out peaceful lives somewhere or went to another country like mexico and took up roots there.
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