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| Denial Stops Here: 9/11 To Peak Oil And Beyond; Full Film | |
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| Topic Started: Apr 23 2008, 06:38 PM (917 Views) | |
| Gideon524 | Apr 23 2008, 06:38 PM Post #1 |
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Oh, you didn't know?
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| Roxdog | Apr 24 2008, 09:24 AM Post #2 |
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I don't claim to be a geologist, but I think this article is interesting and gives the other side of the argument...
http://321energy.com/editorials/bainerman/bainerman083105.html |
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| Headspin | Apr 24 2008, 11:04 AM Post #3 |
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I think the arguments used in that 321energy.com article are poorly researched, agenda-driven, factually inaccurate and not consistent with the science. it is so typical of all the anti peak-oil propaganda. consider this: 1. application of heat to oil will "crack" it into smaller molecules (breaking the carbon-carbon bonds) 2. heat increases the deeper you go into the ground, heat increases uniformly with depth (25 Celcius per km). 3. the heat at 15,000 feet is 145 Celcius, this is high enough to crack oil into natural gas. 4. oil is produced in a very small window of about 20 feet strata of rock 7,000 feet down. conclusion - it is impossible for oil to exist below 15,000 feet, because any that does (or did) exist will be cracked into natural gas. hydrocarbons are cracked into oil over a million years at 82 Celcius (7,500-15000 feet) Peak oil is not about whether dinosaurs came from oil, or whether oil came from dinosaurs, it is about whether the earth can replace what we burn. the answer is no. the only question then is when will peak oil production arrive. In 1956 Hubbert King predicted the peaking of US oil production in the early 1970s. It peaked in 1974. The same models extrapolated to world oil production predicts 2006 as world oil production peak. http://tinyurl.com/5wxlqk Edit by JFK - http://tinyurl.com Edited by JFK, May 8 2008, 05:22 AM.
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| Gideon524 | Apr 24 2008, 12:36 PM Post #4 |
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Oh, you didn't know?
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http://fromthewilderness.com/retrospective2008.shtml Just to let anybody know who cares, Mike's health has improved recently and he's back to living his life. Mike was the second truther I listened to about 9/11 inhis video "The Truth and Lies of 9/11". Alex Jones was the first with "Road to Tyranny". Though I know how most feel and I've heard the controversy, I've always liked Mike. I don't know enough about oil to go one way or the other, but I can't get my head around the idea that energy is infinite, which it must be if this economy expects continued growth. |
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| Roxdog | Apr 24 2008, 12:48 PM Post #5 |
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The same Hubbert King that worked for Dutch Royal Shell? Calling things "propaganda", "agenda driven" and factually inaccurate without being specific doesn't really do much for your position. Can you address what I highlighted? How are "fossil fuels" created without fossils? King "predicted" oil shortages in 1974 but they never happened. They didn't happend in 1995 either. Or 2006. Simply saying we've peaked doesn't mean we've peaked. More and more oil is found each and every year. This is fact. Should we burn oil as if its supply is infinite? Of course not. But should we completely reengineer society based on the opinion of some dead scientist with extreme conflicts of interests whose "predictions" have yet to actually occur? That doesn't sound very logical. Kenneth Deffeyes , one of King's colleagues says we haven't peaked yet. You stated we are supposed to peak in 2006. It's 2008 now. For the record: I don't have anything against Ruppert. He's just wrong on this. I actually learned about Ruppert and CIA drug dealing before I knew anything about 9/11. Edited by JFK, May 8 2008, 05:23 AM.
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| look-up | Apr 24 2008, 01:19 PM Post #6 |
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energy is finite, but for practical purposes, it is infinite. for instance, no energy can be created nor destroyed, anywhere in our universe at least. but there is so much of it out there, that humans would need to exponentially grow for eons to use it all. the question is what we should be using to get that energy. |
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| look-up | Apr 24 2008, 02:17 PM Post #7 |
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Ditto: Here's the thing. People should all TRY TO BE CORRECT all of the time. When someone asks me, "Why do you always have to be right all of the time?" I say, "Why would anyone TRY to be wrong?" But the truth is that sometimes, EVERYONE is wrong about SOMETHING. I don't believe that MOST of the peak-oil alarmists are "in on it", whatever "it" is. Some, like Rupert, and now his peer Steve Alten, are just simply missing part of the bigger picture. The almost hilarious part is that this is just another "shell" in the great "Shell Game" that Alten just wrote about in his book of the same name. (For the record, I have only read a few pages, so I cannot fully state what his views are, but in the opening section, he makes his views on peak oil pretty clear.) Yes, we WILL eventually run out of oil to use on a consistent and growing basis. However, just like Global Warming (which may or may not actually be happening, and if it is, may not be caused by human activity as we are being told by the globalists), is being used by the Global Elite to give itself yet ANOTHER stranglehold on the people of the world. Think about it. The elite know we are awakening. They're scared. They should be. They know that if peak oil comes soon, and the infastructure of our entire worldwide society (not to be confused with world-government) must be retrofitted with new technology, that THEY might not have the coal and oil to use to run the world while this enormous change takes place. They will lose that stranglehold on power, and the people would regain it. They need to CONTROL the peak oil issue, and CONTROL the global warming, and unfortunately by a false connection, all environmental issues. That's their "problem". So what do they do? They prop up peak oil theories and global warming theories to get us to change our infastructure sooner than we would have needed to. Then they can still use oil and other fossil fuels without ceasing while we are forced to live in an extremely difficult world. That's their "reaction". So what the Ruperts and Altens and Griffins say about the American Empire attempting to stay at the forefront of the world theater by using wars in the middle east to accomplish that goal, is true. But to what ends? Are we sure that our great nation is not being influenced by external forces, such as secret societies and super-elite cults? Could they have an agenda that supercedes even this seemingly unparralleled evil that the United States is perpetrating unto the world? Their theory about how the world is being manipulated is missing one hell of a shell. They are seeing a shell game, to continue the analogy, as only having two shells, instead of three. Shell one consists of the general population, the "working" class. Queue Rush's "Working Man" in your head, if you will. Shell two consists of the political seats. Shell three would include the super-elite. This third shell is hard for most people to even observe, yet like studying the effects that black holes have on the universe around them, it can be proven to exist. They use the second shell, the politicians, to perpetrate their attrocities unto the rest of the world. They do nothing themselves. That way, if anyone in our bubble sees problems with the way the world is going, they blame the second shell, the politicians, and look no further for anyone else. They take truths and turn them into lies. THey take lies and turn them into truths. THis is their "solution". It's all about systems of control. Those of us not controlled by one system, are often controlled by another. If someone said that peak oil was arriving soon, it would be true, yet if the person spins it to mean "it will arrive any day" as opposed to "any century", it would be a lie. Truth to a lie. If someone said that global warming theories are false, it would be true, but only insofar as it is taken to mean that humans are not causing global warming, and global warming probably won't kill our civilization. Yet some will spin this issue to show that humans are the real problem. But what does THAT mean? It means the elite are telling the people of the world that THEY must go. IT is a statement of truth, as I described with peak oil as a dilema for the elite. So they make humans the culprit, and it solves all of their problems in the future== so long as we stay asleep that is. Edited by look-up, Apr 24 2008, 02:30 PM.
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| Headspin | Apr 24 2008, 02:28 PM Post #8 |
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You are correct, but that is how i felt after reading it. I felt I could easily debunk everything that was mentioned in that piece, but it would have taken a few hours, not worth my time, but raise a specific issue if you want. Astronomer Dr Gold uses the term "hydrocarbons" - is he using the term loosely? how does he know that coal and oil exist under the surface of other planets? he can't know that, that is impossible to know at the moment. He is probably referring to the methane found on Titan? methane is not the same as our "fossil fuels". But suppose you are correct - suppose the oil exists naturally in the planet's surface and has nothing to do with fossils - peak oil theory still applies unless you can show that oil is created naturally at a rate fast enough to replace what we burn. This is not correct, he predicted the peak of United States oil production in the early 1970s, his 1956 prediction came true in 1974- United States Oil production has been in decline since 1974 - imported oil makes up the difference which explains why you did not notice the decline. I am not aware of any 1995 prediction. the actual prediction is an estimate 2004-2010. that window has been pushed forward a few years because the economic decline due to the 1979 oil crises was not known about - the kink in the opil production graph demonstrates the impact of this event. The truth is that you won't know we have reached peak until a few years after the fact. I am not aware of this fact. can you give me a source for this? Hubberts model takes into account new oil discoveries. new oil discoveries do not compensate the amount that we burn. Edited by JFK, May 8 2008, 05:23 AM.
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| Headspin | Apr 24 2008, 02:55 PM Post #9 |
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1970s peak predicted in 1956
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| Roxdog | Apr 24 2008, 03:09 PM Post #10 |
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Production declined because refineries and oil fields were and continue to be capped, not because supply has peaked. I don't notice a decline because there is none.
Why not? "'THE END OF THE OIL AGE is in sight,' says U.S. petroleum geologist M. King Hubbert.... If present trends continue, Dr. Hubbert estimates, production will peak in 1995 -- the deadline for alternative forms of energy that must replace petroleum in the sharp drop-off that follows." from "Oil, the Dwindling Treasure," National Geographic [June, 1974]
No. The prediction was for 1995. Then 2006. What are you gonna say when it doesn't happen in 2010?
Sure. This is merely ONE instance. I could dig up articles all day long... "And its newly discovered offshore fields of oil and natural gas may turn out to be bigger than those in the North Sea in the 1960s." http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/opinion/360251_brazilonline24.html
So says you and a debunked dead scientist with huge conflicts of interests....
Hubbert predicted exactly nothing... |
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| Headspin | Apr 24 2008, 03:28 PM Post #11 |
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well you haven't debunked Hubbert's theory here, and that 123 article certainly doesn't in my opinion. I'm aware of the brazillian oil discoveries. they have discovered 8 billion barrels. the world consumes 27 billion barrels a year. so assuming we can extract all the oil from that discovery, the brazillian oil find will extend the peak into the future by 3 and a half months. http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/11/09/america/LA-FIN-Brazil-Oil.php putting the 8 billion barrels of new brazillion oil into perpspective: ![]() ![]() Oil Discoveries minus Production, we started using more that we discovered in the mid 80's. This chart, from the Hirsch Report and found on many oil statistics websites, shows production and consumption combined. As the chart shows for years the worlds oil companies found more oil than they were producing. But the picture goes into the red in the mid 80's. From that time to present we are using more oil than oil being discovered. http://www.nyswda.org/LegPosition/Documents/FedResponse/HirschReport2.pdf |
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| look-up | Apr 24 2008, 03:35 PM Post #12 |
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Headspin... whether peak oil is an eventual reality or not, do you agree that the elite are probably trying to control the issue? |
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| Headspin | Apr 24 2008, 04:41 PM Post #13 |
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Absolutely! History teaches us that they would love it if we were all starving, which is what peak oil will bring. They see it as an opportunity, perhaps that is why little effort has been put into developing new technologies which would alleviate the problem. I think the evidence suggests that man-made global warming is totally made up - club of rome etc. So i can accept the possibilty that peak oil maybe totally made up...but i simply see no pertinent evidence for it being fabricated - if you know of any - please give it to me. fabricated peak oil theory would have to go against all the geological science that has been built up over decades, i would think that is difficult if not impossible to completely control. anti-peak oilists are simply pushing the idea that peak oil is nothing to worry about, surely that would please the elites no end? ...and i am literally putting my money where my mouth is. for the sake of my kids, i am hoping to move to a more rural location and grow as much of my own food as possible in the next few years. Edited by Headspin, Apr 24 2008, 04:48 PM.
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| illeagalhunter | Apr 30 2008, 04:55 AM Post #14 |
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iam reading Mikes book right now its powefull stuff |
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| Headspin | Apr 30 2008, 06:42 AM Post #15 |
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it is an exceptional book. published in 2004 actually amazing what we knew all those years ago, for most people there are lots of things to re-discover in it, for latecomers to 911 it is an good satrting point, for everyone it is an excellent reference source. Sadly a lot of people are put off reading it incorrectly believing it is a book about peak oil, it is primarily a book about 9-11. can't go wrong for $12 http://www.amazon.com/Crossing-Rubicon-Decline-American-Empire/dp/0865715408 |
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| Roxdog | Apr 30 2008, 10:21 AM Post #16 |
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I have a buddy that works as a geologist for the state of TN and he would agree that we are swimming in fuel and Peak Oil is a total fraud. I don't have to debunk Hubbert's theory. He did that for me when his predictions never came true.
http://www.baltimorechronicle.com/2008/030608Lendman.shtml You seem to think that how much is pumped and sold ("produced") equals how much is available and so when less is pumped and produced, that proves there is less available. That simply isn't the case. Plenty of oil in tandem with new fuel effiecency technology would make everything easier for everyone. THAT is the reason those in charge push this fraud on us. Edited by Roxdog, May 5 2008, 08:54 AM.
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| Headspin | May 8 2008, 04:20 AM Post #17 |
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interesting chart: World Oil Consumption by Country http://bbs.keyhole.com/ubb/showthreaded.php/Cat/0/Number/809199
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