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http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/03/14/understanding-the-latest-fight-over-the-individual-mandate/

Understanding the latest fight over the individual mandate
BY JASON MILLMAN

In the latest war over Obamacare, the GOP is essentially trying to encourage Americans everywhere to seek an exemption from the individual mandate, the health law provision that requires everyone to get insurance by March 31 or face a penalty.

The Obama administration says exemptions to the mandate are much more limited than the GOP and opponents of the law would have you believe.

Separately, the Republican-controlled House on Friday voted 238-131 in favor of bill that would delay the individual mandate until 2018. The impact of this legislation, which was tied to reform of Medicare physician reimbursements, would mean 13 million fewer people would have insurance in 2018 than if the mandate were kept in place, the Congressional Budget Office said this week.

[...]

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http://cbo.gov/sites/default/files/cbofiles/attachments/hr4015withCampAmendment.pdf

CBO and JCT estimate that enacting the amendment would increase the number of people without health insurance coverage in 2018—relative to current‐law projections—by about 13 million people, resulting in 43 million uninsured in that year. That increase in the uninsured population would consist of roughly 5 million fewer individuals with coverage under Medicaid or the Children's Health Insurance Program, 1 million fewer individuals with employment-based coverage, and 7 million fewer individuals with coverage obtained in the individual market (including individual policies purchased in the exchanges or directly from insurers in the nongroup market). Similar changes in coverage would occur in most other years in which there would be no penalty payment for failing to comply with the individual mandate. After 2018, smaller changes in coverage relative to current law would occur.
CBO and JCT estimate that premiums in 2018 for policies in the individual market would increase by 10 percent to 20 percent relative to current law, and in most other years in which there would be no penalty payment for failing to comply with the individual mandate.

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EXCHANGE ENROLLMENT
6 million = Individual Subsidized
1 million = Individual Unsubsidized
2 million = Employer thru Exchange
9 million = Total

That's for all of 2014, while I thought it was only through March (the 3 month exemption window)
We have less than 3% of the US population there, and I doubt if 100% of those which sign up are going to be Obamacare cheerleaders.

They're looking to have added 9 million in Medicaid through all of 2014. That's also just under 3% of the population. Both combined are actually about 5.5% of the population. It's hard to imagine them picking up more votes from NEW people on the FREE MONEY ride than they'll lose from people having to pay more money, losing policies, losing doctors....

Baldo

Mar 17 2014, 04:47 PM

One Third of Uninsured Won’t Sign Up for Obamacare - the Fiscal Times

...Meanwhile, about 70 percent said they were unaware of subsidies available under the new law that could make their health plans more affordable.
[...]

kbp

Mar 17 2014, 06:38 PM

http://joshblackman.com/blog/2014/03/14/obama-administration-position-in-halbig-court-can-only-issue-relief-to-named-plaintiffs-so-well-disregard-it-for-everyone-else/

Obama Administration Position in Halbig: Court Can Only Issue Relief to Named Plaintiffs, So We’ll Disregard It For Everyone Else



A must read, at least the first half.

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http://dailycaller.com/2014/03/18/report-premiums-rising-faster-than-eight-years-before-obamacare-combined/

Premiums rising faster than eight years before Obamacare COMBINED

Health insurance premiums have risen more after Obamacare than the average premium increases over the eight years before it became law, according to the private health exchange eHealthInsurance.

The individual market for health insurance has seen premiums rise by 39 percent since February 2013, eHealth reports. Without a subsidy, the average individual premium is now $274 a month. Families have been hit even harder with an average increase of 56 percent over the same period — average premiums are now $663 per family, over $426 last year.

Between 2005 and 2013, average premiums for individual plans increased 37 percent and average family premiums were upped 31 percent. So they have risen faster under Obamacare than in the previous eight years.

An important caveat is that eHealth’s prices don’t include subsidies, so the prices for anyone earning between 100 and 400 percent of the federal poverty level will be lower. The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) has repeatedly claimed patients will pay as little as $18 per month, without noting the taxpayer cost.

Premiums are being hiked across the board for several reasons, but the biggest contributor is the Obama administration’s highly touted “essential health benefits,” services that insurers on and off exchanges must provide.

Some benefits, such as emergency and laboratory services, are uncontroversial. But others, like maternity, newborn and pediatric services, are causing headaches for huge swaths of the population that don’t need them. Anyone past childbearing age, single men, the infertile, even nuns — their premiums are rising as well, because their plans must, by law, provide more services.

But premiums aren’t the only key to health care costs — deductibles and out-of-pocket costs like co-pays are also rising. When it comes to employer health plans alone, four out of five U.S. companies have increased deductibles or are considering doing so. (RELATED: 4 of 5 companies may hike deductibles due to Obamacare: http://dailycaller.com/2014/03/13/4-of-5-companies-may-hike-deductibles-due-to-obamacare/ )

Prices may be people away from purchasing health insurance. The latest survey from consulting firm McKinsey found that half of those who haven’t purchased health insurance yet this year cited their inability to pay the premium

https://www.ehealthinsurance.com/affordable-care-act/price-index
(you must enter dates to get results desired)