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Healthcare Bill Part III; Obamacare
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Topic Started: Mar 3 2014, 02:20 PM (48,635 Views)
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Baldo
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Oct 14 2014, 01:00 AM
Post #1051
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Group calls for probe of California's no-bid health contracts, senator calls 'outrageous'
LOS ANGELES – California's health insurance exchange faced calls Monday for a state investigation of its contracting practices, while a state senator urged the agency to account for deals that steered millions of dollars to a firm whose employees have long-standing ties to the agency's executive director.
The no-bid deals "reek of the kind of cronyism that all public servants should be interested in eliminating," Sen. Ted Gaines, a Republican running for state insurance commissioner, said in a letter to Covered California Executive Director Peter Lee.
"Even the appearance of well-connected consultants and personal friends of decision-makers getting bid-free contracts should not be tolerated," added Gaines, who has been critical of the agency's marketing spending.
An Associated Press report Sunday revealed that Covered California awarded dozens of contracts without competitive bidding and oversight that is standard practice across state government from late 2010 through July. Several of those contracts worth a total of $4.2 million went to a consulting firm, The Tori Group, whose founder has strong professional ties to Lee...snipped
http://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/2014/10/13/group-calls-for-probe-california-no-bid-health-contracts-senator-calls/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+foxbusiness%2Fmarkets+%28Internal+-+Markets+-+Text%29
I pretty much can guess what happened. It's the California Marxist Elite passing out money among themselves. All for the little people.
What a scam
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kbp
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Oct 15 2014, 11:38 AM
Post #1052
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It's a real killer in how they try to turn this into good news!
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http://www.kaiserhealthnews.org/Stories/2014/October/14/Modest-Premium-Hikes-Higher-Consumer-Costs-Likely-For-Job-Based-Plans.aspxModest Premium Hikes, Higher Consumer Costs Likely For Job-Based PlansFall is enrollment season for many people who get insurance through their workplace. Premium increases for 2015 plans are expected to be modest on average, but the shift toward higher out-of-pocket costs overall for consumers will continue as employers try to keep a lid on their costs and incorporate health law changes. Experts anticipate that premiums will rise a modest 4 percent in 2015, on average, slightly higher than last year but lower than typical recent Increases. “That’s really low,” says Tracy Watts, a senior partner at benefits consultant Mercer. (such cheerful news!)[...] More employees can expect to be offered high-deductible health plans linked to health savings accounts or health reimbursement arrangements in 2015. Nearly three-quarters of companies with more than 1,000 workers offer such plans, according to the 2014 Towers Watson/National Business Group on Health employer health care survey. Nine percent said they planned to add them in 2015. For a growing number of employees, those plans may be the only ones available through work. For 2015, 30 percent of large employers said they expected to offer only an account-based plan to workers, nearly double the percentage that did so in 2014, the Towers Watson/NBGH survey found. For some consumers, however, those plans raise concerns about the cost of care. A new survey by The Associated Press and the NORC Center For Public Affairs Research found that people with high deductible plans were twice as likely as those with traditional health insurance to report that they did not go to a doctor when sick or injured because of concerns about the costs. (That does NOT read like a plan for a healthier America.)When employers shift toward plans with higher deductibles, they often try to sweeten the deal for employees by offering to put money into the financial accounts to help defray the workers’ increased cost, says Brian Marcotte, president and CEO of the National Business Group on Health. The extra cash—an average $600 per employee—is often tied to wellness activities such as agreeing to get health screenings, says Marcotte. As employees evaluate their health plan offerings this fall, it’s worth checking to see if such incentives are offered. (Most often matching funds from employees. Obamacare is loading businesses with heavier management loads here!)Also this year, workers may find it increasingly expensive to cover their spouses, especially if they have coverage available through their own jobs. Employers have been increasing workers’ costs to cover dependents, including spouses, in recent years. Nearly half of employers say they’ve hiked employee contributions for dependent coverage, and another 19 percent plan to do so in 2015, according to the Towers Watson/NBGH survey. Upcoming increases are particularly aimed at spouses, including $50 to $100 monthly surcharges for spousal coverage, says Sandy Ageloff, a senior consultant at benefits consultant Towers Watson. (Less discretionary spending income for American workers.)“Legally under the Affordable Care Act, plans can’t exclude coverage for kids,” says Ageloff. “But they’re really trying to shift the onus back on to spouses.” This fall, employees who work for small businesses may see fewer changes in their coverage than those who work for large companies. In March, the Obama administration announced that individuals and small businesses with plans that didn’t comply with health law coverage and cost requirements could be extended until 2017. (Pen and phone legislation!)As many as 80 percent of companies with up to 50 employees opted to renew their non-compliant plans for 2014, says David Chase, national health care policy director at the Small Business Majority, an advocacy group. A similar percentage will likely try to do so this year as well, he says. “That’s going to be a popular option for folks, if their states allow it,” Chase says. It’s up to states to determine whether insurers can continue to sell small group plans that don’t meet the requirements of the health law. There could be a downside, however. “Sticking with the same plan doesn’t mean sticking with the same premium,” Chase says. “Those premiums could go up more than ACA-compliant plans.”
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kbp
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Oct 15 2014, 11:42 AM
Post #1053
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http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/technology/how-the-new-healthcaregov-stacks-up-with-the-old/2014/10/14/f28e9d58-5372-11e4-b86d-184ac281388d_story.html How the new HealthCare.gov stacks up with the old
Them comparing an incomplete system to a newly updated incomplete system is an incomplete report from WP!
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kbp
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Oct 15 2014, 12:10 PM
Post #1054
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http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/federal_government/poll-many-insured-struggle-with-medical-bills/2014/10/13/366d53e4-52aa-11e4-b86d-184ac281388d_story.html
Poll: Many insured struggle with medical bills
They have health insurance, but still no peace of mind. Overall, 1 in 4 privately insured adults say they doubt they could pay for a major unexpected illness or injury.
A new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research may help explain why President Barack Obama faces such strong headwinds in trying to persuade the public that his health care law is holding down costs.
The survey found the biggest financial worries among people with so-called high-deductible plans that require patients to pay a big chunk of their medical bills each year before insurance kicks in.
Such plans already represented a growing share of employer-sponsored coverage. Now, they’re also the mainstay of the new health insurance exchanges created by Obama’s law. [...]
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kbp
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Oct 15 2014, 02:45 PM
Post #1055
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http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/volokh-conspiracy/wp/2014/10/14/filed-today-new-brief-in-sissel-v-hhs-origination-clause-challenge/
Filed today: New brief in Sissel v. HHS Origination Clause challenge
By Randy Barnett October 14 at 4:50 PM
Earlier today Erik Jaffe, Lawrence Joseph, and I filed an amicus brief on behalf of Texas Senators John Cornyn and Ted Cruz in support of the motion by the Pacific Legal Foundation for rehearing en banc by the DC Circuit Court of Appeals of the ruling by a three judge panel that dismissed its Origination Clause challenge to the Affordable Care Act. Last week, “upon consideration of the petition for rehearing en banc,” the full Circuit on its own motion ordered the Federal Government to file a response to PLF’s petition within 15 days. As PLF attorney Paul Beard observed here, “An order calling for a response to a rehearing petition is rare and, at the very least, means that some members of the Court are taking the petition seriously.”
In our amicus brief, we identify a serious error made by the panel when interpreting the Origination Clause that prevented it from reaching many of the most important Origination Clause issues presented by the ACA. Let me explain.
The Origination Clause, U.S. CONST. art. I, § 7, cl. 1, states that “[a]ll Bills for raising Revenue shall originate in the House of Representatives; but the Senate may propose or concur with Amendments as on other Bills..” PLF contended that, once the Supreme Court in NFIB v. Sebelius upheld the “shared responsibility payment” solely as a tax, rather than as a penalty enforcing a mandate to buy insurance pursuant to the Commerce Clause, it raised a new constitutional objection. Because the ACA originated in the Senate, and not the House, it violated the Origination Clause. PLF also denied that the ACA was a proper “amendment” of the House bill that was totally gutted by the Senate and replaced with the text of the ACA.
But the DC Circuit Court of Appeals panel never reached most of these issues because it ruled that the ACA was not a bill “for raising revenue” and therefore the Origination Clause simply did not apply. The panel did so on the ground that the primary “purpose” of the ACA was not “to raise revenue,” but was to induce people to buy insurance and provide affordable health care to Americans; so that its revenue raising effect was merely “incidental” to this purpose.
Of course, the Senate obviously considered the ACA to be a bill for raising revenue as evidenced by the fact it used the “shell bill” maneuver of taking a House bill that it thought (inaccurately) to be a bill for raising revenue and then “amending” it by striking out every single word of the bill, including the title, retaining only the House bill number. The panel reached the different conclusion that the Senate was wrong to think the gut-and-replace maneuver was necessary because, in the panel’s view, the ACA was not a bill for raising revenue in the first place.
In our 8 page amicus brief, we focus on a most serious error in the panel’s analysis that has the functional consequence of eliminating the Origination Clause from the Constitution: its mistaken reading of the text, original meaning and precedent to conclude erroneously that the ACA was not a bill for raising revenue because the principal “purpose” of the shared responsibility payment in particular or the ACA as a whole was to achieve affordable health care rather than add to the coffers of the treasury.
We explain that prior references to the “purpose” of the statute were actually references to constitutional objects or purposes. So if the purpose of a monetary exaction was to enforce a commerce clause regulation — e.g. by a monetary fine or penalty — or would have been within the commerce power of Congress, the fact that the exaction revenue “incidentally” contributes money to the treasury does not make it a bill for raising revenue. BUT, if the monetary exaction is justified only as a “tax” under Congress’s power to tax, then it necessarily must be a bill for raising revenue. In sum, “a bill that imposes a tax, under the sole authority of the taxing power, is necessarily a bill for raising revenue. Only when a measure is upheld pursuant to some other constitutional power is it warranted to characterize the money it may raise as ‘incidental’ to another object or ‘purpose.’”
Here is a longer excerpt:
- Were the motive or policy goals of a bill the touchstone, no revenue measure would ever be subject to the Origination Clause. Amici’s Senate colleagues surely could articulate a broader “purpose” in raising whatever funds they deem required. The income tax could easily (and largely truthfully) be characterized as a bill to provide for national defense and foreign diplomacy, or to facilitate any other federal program. No tax is levied to raise money for its own sake, and all monies raised are “incidental” to other government goals. Under the panel’s approach, the Origination Clause would be toothless.
The panel decision is particularly troublesome when combined with its broad view that the taxing power may be exercised regardless of any regulatory purpose that may be beyond Congress’ authority, and regardless whether the revenue purpose is secondary. This combination leads to a constitutional whipsaw whereby otherwise unconstitutional regulatory measures are deemed taxes yet are immunized from the Origination Clause, despite whatever revenue-raising function justified them as taxes for constitutional purposes.
Not only is such a Catch-22 contrary to the original meaning of the Origination Clause, neither does it fit the pattern of any prior case rejecting an Origination Clause challenge. In every prior case there existed constitutional authority independent of the tax power to to enact the monetary exaction that was upheld. In each case, those money-generating provisions were simply a means of implementing a separate Congressional power.
In this case, with an exclusive reliance on the taxing power, the shared responsibility penalty was constitutionally justified solely as a revenue-raising tax. Courts may not look behind the constitutional “object” or purpose for this measure to any other motives that Congress may have harbored. Congress may exact money for a variety of constitutional ends, but when it attempts to achieve these ends by using its power to tax the people, such a measure is a bill for raising revenue that must originate in the House. Of course, en banc review is rarely granted by the DC Circuit, but given that it recently granted the government’s motion for en banc review of the statutory interpretation case of Halbig v. Burwell presumably because of the importance of the ACA, the case for correcting a mistaken constitutional interpretation is even more important, especially as the panel’s reasoning has the effect of completely gutting the Origination Clause from the Constitution in the same way the Senate gutted the House bill. Regardless of whether the ACA was a proper “amendment” by the Senate, courts are not empowered to amend the Constitution in this way.
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kbp
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Oct 15 2014, 02:58 PM
Post #1056
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http://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelcannon/2014/10/15/how-obamacares-victories-count-against-it-in-sissel-v-hhs/How ObamaCare's Victories Count Against It In Sissel v. HHSRandy Barnett has an excellent post at the Volokh Conspiracy about his recent amicus brief requesting the D.C. Circuit grant en banc review of Sissel v. HHS. (Sound familiar?) Sissel challenges the constitutionality of ObamaCare’s individual mandate — which the Supreme Court ruled could only be constitutional if imposed under Congress’ taxing power — on the grounds that this, ahem, tax originated in the Senate rather than the House, as the Constitution’s Origination Clause requires. [...] You guys think Halbig is worthy of en banc review? Fine. If the Sissel panel erred, the downside is even greater. We’ll see whether the D.C. Circuit thinks the Constitution is as worthy of its protection as ObamaCare.
What the DC Circuit decides will be noticed by SCOTUS.
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kbp
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Oct 16 2014, 08:12 AM
Post #1057
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Insert dog chasing its tail here!!!
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http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/16/us/us-says-consumers-must-renew-policies.htmlU.S. Says Consumers Must Renew Health Insurance PoliciesWASHINGTON — The Obama administration began notifying consumers on Wednesday that they should return to the federal health insurance marketplace to renew coverage for next year. In addition, the officials said, consumers should update information on their income and family size and should compare their current insurance with alternatives, which could offer better coverage at a lower cost. Kevin J. Counihan, the chief executive of the federal marketplace, said the notices were being sent to 7.3 million people enrolled in health plans purchased through the exchange, HealthCare.gov, which serves three dozen states. Mr. Counihan, speaking at a conference of insurance executives and consumer advocates, outlined what he described as five easy steps for consumers. “Step 1 — review your coverage,” Mr. Counihan said. “Plans change, people change. Step 2 — starting Nov. 15, log in and update your application. Make sure your household income and other information is up-to-date. Step 3 — compare your current plan with other plans that are available in your area. Step 4 — choose the health plan that best fits your budget and health needs. Step 5 — enroll.” The open enrollment period runs from Nov. 15 through Feb. 15. But, Mr. Counihan said, “for coverage starting Jan. 1, the consumer must enroll in a health plan by Dec. 15.” Consumers who have already signed up and who take no action will, in most cases, have coverage automatically renewed in the same or similar health plans. Federal subsidies will also be the same, though premiums are likely to change, and consumers will not always be able to stay with their current doctors because health plans can change their provider networks. The lazy will likely suffer increases.“There is going to be a lot of confusion,” said Rachel Klein, director of the enrollment program at Families USA, a consumer group. But she said, “The uninsured want health insurance and will persevere to get it.” Insurers expressed concern about consumers who choose to leave one health plan and sign up for another offered by a different insurance company. The federal government is not planning to send a notice to the first insurer terminating the consumer’s enrollment. As a result, consumers may receive bills or invoices from both companies. And conceivably, insurers said, if premiums are paid from bank accounts by electronic funds transfer, the money could be deducted twice.
Katie Dzurec-Dunton, the director of compliance and regulatory affairs at Maine Community Health Options, the state’s most popular plan on the exchange, said she worried that “we will get no notification of any kind” in these cases. Insurers will hesitate to shut off coverage for consumers if the companies do not receive explicit instructions to do so, she said. Mr. Counihan said the renewal process would work well for most consumers, but might not be “perfect for every enrollment transaction.” Aaron Albright, a spokesman at the federal Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, said that insurers would not receive termination notices, but could assume that an individual’s coverage ends on Dec. 31 unless the insurer is told otherwise by the government. In late December, the federal marketplace will send enrollment files to insurers indicating whose coverage has been renewed for 2015. Esther Krofah, a health-policy specialist at the National Governors Association, voiced another concern. “Consumers,” she said, “will receive multiple notices from the marketplace and insurers and will need to pay careful attention to the complex messages.” The notices could differ because enrollment records kept by insurers and the government differ in many particulars. The Obama administration began notifying insurers this week of its preliminary decisions to approve health plans for sale in the federal marketplace this fall. But insurers cannot begin sending renewal notices to customers until they receive signed contracts from the government in November. This conflicts with rules and laws in some states, which require insurers to inform consumers two or three months before the renewals take effect on Jan. 1. Paul D. Wingle, the exchange strategy chief at Aetna, asked federal officials how to reconcile the federal and state requirements. Michael Adelberg, a senior official at the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, said that federal officials were in discussions with state insurance regulators and would probably issue guidance on the question.
...Federal subsidies will also be the same, though premiums are likely to change
If they update their information... calculations that determine subsidies use income and a set average silver plan premium to determine what percentage of your income must go towards paying the premium and the balance that taxpayers will cover through the redistribution plan.
Something to consider here is that the much, much shorter enrollment period this year (IIRC, it's 11/15-3/1 v. the 10/1-4/1 last year) could see an overload, since all enrollees from last year need to enroll again this year. If they have any luck with enrollment promotions, they'll have up to twice as many people online in just over half as much time.
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kbp
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Oct 16 2014, 08:15 AM
Post #1058
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ADD: Keep in mind that the backend of the Exchange system program still does NOT work. That means they may have twice as many applications in which they must manually verify income on! They won't have to re-verify eligibility again on last years enrollees, but they must verify income again.
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LTC8K6
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Oct 16 2014, 09:27 AM
Post #1059
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Assistant to The Devil Himself
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ClusterF**K!
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Baldo
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Oct 17 2014, 11:42 PM
Post #1060
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NY Times
Unable to Meet the Deductible or the Doctor
Patricia Wanderlich got insurance through the Affordable Care Act this year, and with good reason: She suffered a brain hemorrhage in 2011, spending weeks in a hospital intensive care unit, and has a second, smaller aneurysm that needs monitoring.
But her new plan has a $6,000 annual deductible, meaning that Ms. Wanderlich, who works part time at a landscaping company outside Chicago, has to pay for most of her medical services up to that amount. She is skipping this year’s brain scan and hoping for the best.
“To spend thousands of dollars just making sure it hasn’t grown?” said Ms. Wanderlich, 61. “I don’t have that money.”
About 7.3 million Americans are enrolled in private coverage through the Affordable Care Act marketplaces, and more than 80 percent qualified for federal subsidies to help with the cost of their monthly premiums. But many are still on the hook for deductibles that can top $5,000 for individuals and $10,000 for families — the trade-off, insurers say, for keeping premiums for the marketplace plans relatively low. The result is that some people — no firm data exists on how many — say they hesitate to use their new insurance because of the high out-of-pocket costs.
Insurers must cover certain preventive services, like immunizations, cholesterol checks and screening for breast and colon cancer, at no cost to the consumer if the provider is in their network. But for other services and items, like prescription drugs, marketplace customers often have to meet their deductible before insurance starts to help.
While high-deductible plans cover most of the costs of severe illnesses and lengthy hospital stays, protecting against catastrophic debt, those plans may compel people to forgo routine care that could prevent bigger, longer-term health issues, according to experts and research.
“They will cause some people to not get care they should get,” Katherine Hempstead, who directs research on health insurance coverage at the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation, said of high-deductible marketplace plans. “Unfortunately, the people who are attracted to the lower premiums tend to be the ones who are going to have the most trouble coming up with all the cost-sharing if in fact they want to use their health insurance.”
Deductibles for the most popular health plans sold through the new marketplaces are higher than those commonly found in employer-sponsored health plans, according to Margaret A. Nowak, the research director of Breakaway Policy Strategies, a health care consulting company. A survey by the Kaiser Family Foundation found that the average deductible for individual coverage in employer-sponsored plans was $1,217 this year.
In comparison, the average deductible for a bronze plan on the exchange — the least expensive coverage — was $5,081 for an individual and $10,386 for a family, according to HealthPocket, a consulting firm. Silver plans, which were the most popular option this year, had average deductibles of $2,907 for an individual and $6,078 for a family....snipped
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/18/us/unable-to-meet-the-deductible-or-the-doctor.html?src=twr
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Baldo
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Oct 17 2014, 11:46 PM
Post #1061
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But the Govt will spend millions on illegals health-care.
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kbp
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Oct 18 2014, 10:19 AM
Post #1062
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- Baldo
- Oct 17 2014, 11:42 PM
NY Times
Unable to Meet the Deductible or the Doctor
[...] Obamacare is a brilliant plan for redistributing health care coverage ....just NOT the actual CARE when necessary!
The solution that will become necessary is more redistribution ...promoting the need for single-payer care.
Edited by kbp, Oct 18 2014, 10:20 AM.
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kbp
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Oct 18 2014, 02:22 PM
Post #1063
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http://rt.com/usa/195948-budget-review-obamacare-costs/Obamacare likely to cost $300 billion more than thought – Congressional Budget OfficeThe real cost of Obamacare will be hundreds of billions of dollars more than expected, Republican members of the Senate Budget Committee now say, and will greatly increase the federal deficit during the next decade. Contrary to claims made by the White House, United States President Barack Obama’s hallmark health care plan will actually have a tremendous toll on the government, GOP members of the SBC committee allege in a new report. According to an analysis of data received by the Congressional Budget Office, Senate Republican say so-called Obamacare won’t reduce the federal budget deficit by $180 billion by 2019 as predicted, but will actually set the US back another $131 billion in the hole. The CBO hasn’t officially investigated the cost of Obamacare since the summer of 2012, Senate Budget Committee Ranking Member Jeff Sessions (R-Alabama) says in the report, and complications in the two-plus years since have, according to his group’s analysis, caused costs to change tremendously.
- “The most recent CBO estimate, released in July 2012, indicated the law was projected to reduce the deficit by $109 billion over the 10-year period from FY 2013–2022. Nevertheless, considerable changes have occurred since then: a botched rollout of the insurance exchanges; unilateral changes made by the Administration to exempt certain groups from complying with key aspects of the law; technical adjustments to CBO’s baseline projections for federal health spending; updated economic forecasts; a better understanding of the labor market effects of the legislation; and a new 10-year budget window,” the report reads in part. “Together these changes have significant implications for the sign of the deficit impact of the Democrats’ health law.”
“f nothing had changed since 2012,” the report continues, “then the legislation would be projected to reduce the deficit by $180 billion” by 2024. After reviewing new data, however, that number changes drastically. In all, GOP analysts say the difference between the 2012 prediction and the latest analyses amounts to $311 billion.
- “Altogether, the SBC Republican staff analysis finds that after taking these significant changes since 2012 into account, the Democrats’ health care law will increase the budget deficit by $131 billion over the current 10-year budget window (FY 2015–2024),” the report finds. “This estimate is arrived at by taking the $180 billion in projected deficit reduction from the CBO 2012 extrapolation and then accounting for the lower net cost of the coverage provisions ($83 billion), the lower estimated federal health care savings under the plan ($132 billion), as well as the lower projected revenue levels when including the labor market effects of the legislation ($262 billion).”
Meanwhile, other figures concerning Pres. Obama’s Affordable Care Act could fluctuate in only the next coming days: although Americans were allowed to begin enrolling in the healthcare program last October 1, this time around they will have to wait until November 15 — 11 days after the upcoming mid-term elections.
- “This is more than just a glitch,” Tim Phillips, president of free-market Americans for Prosperity, said in a statement last week. “The administration’s decision to withhold the costs of this law until after Election Day is just more proof that Obamacare is a bad deal for Americans.”
Last year’s scheduled launch of the ACA was ultimately marred by a number of incidents, including major problems with the program’s website and the inability for many people to retain old insurance providers. In July 2014, a survey conducted by the Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation determined that 53 percent of respondents viewed the ACA unfavorably. The CBO did revise the 2012 "officially investigated cost of Obamacare" in May 2013 and April 2014 (see links in my signature), but they completely gave up on trying to revise the numbers produced by the 'pen and phone' laws.
As for deficit reduction, if the new taxes accessed for and costs associated directly with Obamacare were to be eliminated, we'd see about $2 trillion added to deficit and/or debt reduction. .
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Mason
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Oct 18 2014, 04:13 PM
Post #1064
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Parts unknown
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. We are supposed to believe the media is just figuring out the Affordable Care Act is Unaffordable?
Are they that rich and sheltered that they didn't know with almost 100 Million people out of the workforce and only minimum wage jobs being grown under Obama that people can't afford $6,000 deductibles per year?
It's clear as can be - and it's only going to get worse because people are going to fall behind in payments and then get penalized and have to pay fines - and have the ER to look forward to. The far we get away from being a political movement, the more Peeps will have other pressing bills they would rather pay.
It's also clear the goal is to do away with Employer-based health insurance.
Wait til you see the quality. That is the Big Hit in all of this.
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Edited by Mason, Oct 18 2014, 04:13 PM.
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kbp
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Oct 19 2014, 11:36 AM
Post #1065
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http://news.investors.com/politics-obamacare/101714-722269-obamacare-bronze-plan-premiums-to-jump-in-2015.htmObamaCare Bronze Plan Premiums To Jump 14% In 2015 [...] While some potential enrollees may opt out because of the higher cost of bronze, some young adults may instead pick catastrophic plans available to those under 30. The latter scenario is also not great news for ObamaCare exchanges, since catastrophic plan members are grouped separately, leaving the main risk pool relatively older and more costly. In general, double-digit ObamaCare premium increases have been the exception rather than the rule, leading news outlets and health policy experts to deride earlier predictions by the law's critics that rates would spiral this year. Perhaps the clearest evidence of the benign rate environment for 2015 came from an analysis by the Kaiser Family Foundation . The authors found that the cost of the benchmark silver plan would fall an average 0.8% in the same 16 cities that IBD looked at. Further, the report found that the after-subsidy cost of the second-lowest-cost silver plan would also fall an average 0.8%. IBD relied upon the same bronze and silver premium data that Kaiser foundation researchers collected. So what accounts for the dramatic difference in findings about the path of bronze and silver premiums? There are two big reasons for the difference. First, Kaiser researchers calculated after-subsidy premiums for someone whose expected income in 2015 is the same as in 2014, while IBD's illustration assumes income rises with inflation. Kaiser is a pro-Obamacare company.
The deductibles should start forcing people to drop coverage, as more realize they're in the hole before insurance coverage starts.
I've been anticipating bigger rate hikes next fall when the 3-R's will not cover losses. The 3-R's transition period is facing the deductibles and catastrophic plans weakening their post-transition pools.
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