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| what are the odds? | |
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| Tweet Topic Started: Aug 16 2016, 03:37 AM (249 Views) | |
| Stoned | Aug 16 2016, 03:37 AM Post #1 |
Fire & Ice Senior Diplomat
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Crazy and not-so-crazy scenarios Here are the chances we’ll see these election outcomes. Electoral College deadlock no candidate gets 270 electoral votes 0.3% Recount at least one decisive state within 0.5 ppt 2.8% Clinton wins popular vote 90.5% Trump wins popular vote 9.5% Clinton wins popular vote but loses Electoral College 2.3% Trump wins popular vote but loses Electoral College 0.7% Johnson wins at least one electoral vote 3.4% Clinton majority wins at least 50 percent of the vote 46.0% Trump majority wins at least 50 percent of the vote 1.4% Clinton landslide double-digit popular vote margin 41.2% Trump landslide double-digit popular vote margin 0.7% Map exactly the same as in 2012 0.4% Clinton wins at least one state Mitt Romney won in 2012 88.8% Trump wins at least one state President Obama won in 2012 45.4% |
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| Brewster | Aug 16 2016, 03:49 AM Post #2 |
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Fire & Ice Senior Diplomat
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I think the odds may just have gotten even better than that. Two states Clinton expected to win, but not necessarily this big: Washington: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Elway Clinton 43, Trump 24, Johnson 7, Stein 4 Clinton +19 New York: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Siena Clinton 50, Trump 25, Johnson 9, Stein 6 Clinton +25 We're now leaving simple "Double Digit" country for "20 points plus". RCP's "No Toss Up" Map shows - Trump/Pence 176 - Clinton/Kaine 362 Dare we say "Landslide" Yet? Edited by Brewster, Aug 16 2016, 03:52 AM.
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| Pat | Aug 16 2016, 04:08 AM Post #3 |
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Fire & Ice Senior Diplomat
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I wasn't aware the outcome had been decided two and a half months prior to the election. I suppose now we can focus on other issues while Hillary prepares to be impeached. |
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| Brewster | Aug 16 2016, 04:28 AM Post #4 |
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Fire & Ice Senior Diplomat
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Bitter, Bitter.... |
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| Stoned | Aug 16 2016, 05:54 AM Post #5 |
Fire & Ice Senior Diplomat
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The odds are the odds. I didn't make em up. It is a very bleak picture for trump. |
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| Brewster | Aug 16 2016, 05:57 AM Post #6 |
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Fire & Ice Senior Diplomat
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Posting the truth just makes Pat and the other Righties more bitter. |
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| Berton | Aug 16 2016, 07:58 AM Post #7 |
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Thunder Fan
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What happens when the truth about Fulltimer being Telcoman is posted? |
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| Brewster | Aug 16 2016, 08:22 AM Post #8 |
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Fire & Ice Senior Diplomat
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I don't know. I couldn't care less one way or the other. I only worry about sock puppets invented just so the original poster has someone who agrees with himself. On Edit: Even then, I don't really care. It's just stupid. Edited by Brewster, Aug 16 2016, 08:24 AM.
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| Berton | Aug 16 2016, 10:41 AM Post #9 |
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Thunder Fan
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If you care about sock puppets then you care about Paul. He is your sock puppet. |
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| Brewster | Aug 16 2016, 10:49 AM Post #10 |
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Fire & Ice Senior Diplomat
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Talk about Stupid! |
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9:01 AM Jul 11
